Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Predictive Dialers In Outbound Call Centres

A predictive dialer is a computerized system that automatically dials batches of telephone numbers for connection to agents assigned to sales or other campaigns.Predictive dialers are widely used in call centers.

The autodialer preceded the predictive dialer.While the basic autodialer merely automatically dials telephone numbers for call center agents who are idle or waiting for a call, the predictive dialer uses a variety of algorithms to predict both the availability of agents and called party answers, adjusting the calling process to the number of agents it predicts will be available when the calls it places are expected to be answered.

The predictive dialer monitors the answers to the calls it places, detecting how the calls it makes are answered.It discards unanswered calls, busy numbers, disconnected lines, answers from fax machines, answering machines and similar automated services, and only connects calls answered by people to waiting sales representatives.

Thus, it frees agents from the task of manually dialing telephone numbers and subsequently listening to ring tones, unanswered or unsuccessful calls.Predictive dialers perform the same function but the architecture and delivery methods can vary greatly between manufacturers.

There are several types of predictive dialing: Software, Hardware, Smart, and Hosted dialers.A predictive dialer can dramatically increase the time an agent spends on communication rather than waiting; a 2002 survey indicated an increase in talk time from twenty minutes in the hour to almost fifty.

The system is most suitable for low quality lists and large numbers of agents; however, an unexpectedly high contact rate can overwhelm the system leading to call abandonment.Before running a campaign, Call list data is loaded into the dialer.The data is generally derived from a large database such as a telephone directory or similar listing from CRM software.Some predictive dialers generate call lists and report call attempts.

Unsuccessful calls are often analyzed to determine if the number called needs to be called back later or needs special treatment, such as a manual or autodialed call by an agent to listen to an answer machine message.

Predictive dialer systems are commonly used by telemarketing organizations involved in B2C (business to consumer) calling as it allows their sales representatives to have much more customer contact time.Predictive dialers may also be used by market survey companies and debt collection services who need to contact and personally speak to a lot of people by telephone.

More commonly predictive dialers are now being used as a quick and easy way to automate all sorts of calls which would otherwise be made manually by a call center, such as welcome calls for new customers, customer service call backs, appointment confirmations/reminders, or even for the automation of large numbers of ad hoc calls that might need to take place (such as by a taxi company, or parcel delivery service etc).

The predictive dialer exhibits predictive behavior when its dialing algorithm produces more call attempts (dials) than the number of agents currently logged in and available to handle calls.The predictive dialing happens when the predictive dialer dials ahead of the agents becoming available or when the predictive dialer matches a forecast number of available agents with a forecast number of available called parties.The matching and dialing ahead perspectives provide the large increases in dial rates and agent productivity.


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Friday, January 2, 2009

Get Online Information On B2B Mobile Phone Leads

A mobile phone (also known as a wireless phone or cellular phone) is a short-range, electronic device used for mobile voice or data communication over a network of specialised base stations known as cell sites.In addition to the standard voice function of a mobile phone, telephone, current mobile phones may support many additional services, and accessories, such as SMS for text messaging, email, packet switching for access to the Internet, gaming, bluetooth, infrared, camera with video recorder and MMS for sending and receiving photos and video.

A multi mode (also known more specifically as dual, tri or quad band) mobile phone is a phone which is designed to work on more than one GSM radio frequency.The multi-mode case occurs mostly in GSM which was originally specified in the 900 MHz band, but expanded to the 1800 MHz band, later adding 1900 MHz and finally 850 MHz in the Americas.

For CDMA or TDMA phones, multiple bands usually means it supports both digital and analog communications.Multi-mode phones have been valuable to enable roaming but are now becoming most important in allowing the introduction of WCDMA without customers having to give up the wide coverage of GSM.Almost every single true 3G phone sold is actually a WCDMA/GSM dual-mode mobile.This is also true of 2.75G phones such as those based on CDMA-2000 or EDGE.

The special challenge involved in producing a multi mode mobile is in finding ways to share the components between the different standards.Obviously, the phone keypad and display should be shared, otherwise it would be hard to treat as one phone.Beyond that, though, there are challenges at each level of integration.How difficult these challenges are depends on the differences between systems.

The different variants of the GSM system have only different frequencies and so aren't even considered true multi-mode phones but rather are called multi-band phones.When talking about IS-95/GSM multi-mode phones, for example, or AMPS/IS-95 phones, the base band processing is very different from system to system.

This leads to real difficulties in component integration and so to larger phones.Mobile phones are now heavily used for data communications such as SMS messages, browsing mobile web sites, and even streaming audio and video files.The main limiting factors are the size of the screen, lack of a keyboard, processing power and connection speed.Most cellphones, which supports data communications, can be used as wireless modems (via cable or bluetooth), to connect computer to internet.Such access method is slow and expensive, but it can be available in very remote areas.

Connection speed is based on network support.Originally data transfers over GSM networks were possible only over CSD (circuit switched data), it has bandwidth of 9600 bit/s and usually is billed by connection time (from network point of view, it does not differ much from voice call).Later, there were introduced improved version of CSD HSCSD (high speed CSD), it could use multiple time slots for downlink, improving speed.

Maximum speed for HSCSD is 42 kbit/s, it also is billed by time.Later was introduced GPRS (general packet radio service), which operates on completely different principle.It also can use multiple time slots for transfer, but it does not tie up radio resources, when not transferring data (as opposed to CSD and like).

GPRS usually is prioritized under voice and CSD, so latencies are large and variable.Later, GPRS was upgraded to EDGE, which differs mainly by radio modulation, squeezing more data capacity in same radio bandwidth.GPRS and EDGE usually are billed by data traffic volume.Some phones also feature real keyboards, such as the LG enV.


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Saturday, December 20, 2008

Market drama continues with Eurozone admitting recession

World stock markets took another tumble last week with the major US indices penetrating the October lows intraday.The FTSE finished the week down around 4%, but it was UK plc that took a battering.The Pound fell to record lows against the European single currency, even breaking through the synthetic Euro/ Deutsche Mark lows from 1996.The weeks action was all the more damning considering the Eurozones admission that it too is in a recession.The Euro managed to end the slightly down against the dollar, but the pound plunged through the 1.5000 level for the first time since 2002.However there is still some way to go before the low of 1.3685 from 2001 is breached.

Financials were amongst the worst performing companies as Libor broke its 23 day decline.3 month Libor increased to 2.15% and overnight Libor also pushed higher.The main catalyst was Paulson 's announcements of changes to the Troubled Asset Relief Program.As this originally was seen as getting to the heart of the matter in terms of offloading toxic assets, investors are confused as to what this means for future prospects for financial firms in the US.In the US, the insurance giant AIG had its earnings estimates cut, as did Wells Fargo.Much worse are the rumours that Fannie May may have to tap into US government cash to avoid liquidation.Previously unaffected stocks such as HSBC were also down hard after poor results, and there was speculation that it too may need to follow Santander 's lead in raising money through a rights issue.Until very recently HSBC and Santander were seen as being at arms length to the current crisis due to their relatively low exposure to the US housing market.However, with news of the UK property crash worsening and Asian markets faltering, HSBC is coming under increasing pressure.

More than anything market participants hate confusion or indecision, with the common reaction being if in doubt, get out.This is reflected in the performance of financial shares across the globe.Even when the wider market attempted a rally, financials were weighing on sentiment, like a ship trying to sail with its anchor still deployed.

Although last weeks UK unemployment data and sales projections from various companies fell below consensus, European markets didnt revisit the October lows and US markets managed to rally from beneath them .Despite the economic outlook arguably looking bleaker than it did just two weeks ago, markets havent capitulated.The optimistic interpretation of this scenario is that the bad news is starting to be priced in by the stock market.As markets are forward looking by at least 6 months, they could be discounting the slowdown that virtually everyone is predicting, and are looking for what happens after that.

The pessimistic interpretation of the current scenario is that markets are as over optimistic now as they were a couple of months ago.The default reaction to any impending disaster is in most cases denial then panic.The pessimist would argue that investors are still too optimistic about companys future growth prospects, and so further falls are likely.The reality is that markets are flipping from optimism to pessimism almost by the hour and remain entrenched in a choppy mess.After repeated failed rallies over the last few weeks, the bulls would be forgiven for giving up the ghost.

The coming week kicks off with some middle tier US industrial production figures and Treasury secretary speaking late on Monday evening.On Tuesday there is a raft of UK and US inflation numbers followed by Fed chairman Bernanke testifying as US markets open.Wednesday sees the release of the last MPC meeting minutes and with Gordon Brown calling for further rate cuts, these minutes will be poured over closely for hints of future decisions.Later that evening the FOMC release the minutes from their last meeting and although many argue they are done for now, Wall Street is still calling for more cuts.

There have been many comparisons between current market action and the great depression of the 1930s, and in many ways these comparisons are valid.The last time markets were as choppy as they are today was indeed the 1930s.The world is a very different place to how it was 70-80 years ago, but the current extremes were seeing point back to this period as being a strong likeness.According to Rob Hannah of Quantifiable Edges, the stock market only recovered from this decade long malaise, once it switched from chop mode to trending mode.If a long period of chop is the worst we experience over the next few months, even years, although frustrating, there may be worse things that could happen.Ironically, a smooth decline which bottoms out to form a smooth rally may be the real harbinger of a recovery.This may be a moot point as we are still far from seeing smooth rallies or smooth declines.

Potentially more positive signs were pointed out by Jason Goepfert of SentimentTrader, who noted that until this week the SP 500 has never swung up 5% one day then 4% down the next.This has happened three times on the Dow Jones, all dates between 1929 and 1932.None of them marked a low, but were within a week or so of one.Barry Rithholtz also noted that market bottoms are rarely completed without multiple retests of prior lows.This is arguably what we were seeing last week.While there is considerable risk of further selling, at least with fixed odds trading our risk is limited to our stake.

Therefore a Bull bet, which predicts that the market will be higher than a certain level in the future could offer an attractive risk reward.A bull bet predicting that the Dow Jones (Wall Street) will be higher than 9000 in 9 days time could return 187 at BetOnMarkets.


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